Greg Daco

His economic polling keeps getting worse by the day

The next year, President Donald Trump’s global tariffs raised coffee prices even higher

Next week's jobs report should also give some clarity on the path for monetary policy, after Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh doubled down on a stance against inflation even with growing pockets of weakness in the U.S. economy

The S & P 500 was up 0.5% on the week, with Nvidia's outsized revenue growth projections for fiscal 2028 spilling over into the broader chip sector and lifting memory stocks

US government borrowing costs have hit their highest level since 2007 after the Federal Reserve voted to hold its key interest rate steady, feeding fears that the central bank may not move fast enough to tame a rise in inflation

AI is raising prices for Americans — and not just electricity bills

AI is raising prices for Americans — and not just electricity bills

Warsh was chosen to lead the U.S. central bank by Trump, who has made his demand for lower interest rates clear as he has exerted unprecedented pressure on the independent monetary policy making body

Kevin Warsh finally won the prize he long pursued: becoming chairman of the Federal Reserve

IRGC commanders dismiss Trump's threats as empty

Consumer inflation in the United States increased at the fastest pace in three years as surging oil prices amid tensions with Iran weigh on global energy markets before the US Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week

Interest rates on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note are topping 4.44%, up from 3.95% before the war started at the end of February

The analysis, reported by CNBC's Steve Liesman, comes as the war reaches its three-month mark and energy prices remain one of the clearest ways the conflict is spilling into the everyday economy

The analysis, reported by CNBC's Steve Liesman, comes as the war reaches its three-month mark and energy prices remain one of the clearest ways the conflict is spilling into the everyday economy

Strait of Hormuz fallout tightens supplies, keeping fuel prices elevated

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights

Despite hopes the summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping could ease tensions, there was no agreement reached to loosen restrictions on the supply of rare earth minerals and magnets

As U.S. President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping prepare to talk business and politics later this week, exporters appear less concerned about tariffs and more about hostilities in the Middle East

Skyrocketing gasoline prices tied to the Iran war are erasing Americans' wage gains, with inflation outpacing paycheck growth for the first time in three years

American businesses are facing higher operating costs and weaker outlooks as the war in Iran continues to disrupt energy markets and supply chains

US adds 115,000 jobs in April as labour market shrugs off energy shock

U.S. jobless claim applications rose last week but remain at historically low levels despite elevated inflation and other economic headwinds

Bond investors brace for ‘volatile’ Federal Reserve transition as Powell stays on

Fed holds rates steady for third straight meeting as four officials dissent

The Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting, starting Tuesday, could be Chairperson Jerome Powell’s last at the helm of the independent institution

Then he shifts to more personal concerns: School fees, household expenses, loan repayments and the money he has been saving for his daughter Varsha’s wedding

Iran War Ties Up Fertilizer Exports

Markets have appeared optimistic in recent days about a potential resolution to the conflict

US rate outlook suggests mortgages and loans in UAE may stay elevated for longer

U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers are expected to leave interest rates unchanged at their meeting next week, as the U.S.-Israel war on Iran sends shock waves through markets and recent economic data has begun to show weakness

U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers are expected to leave interest rates unchanged at their meeting next week, as the U.S.-Israel war on Iran sends shock waves through markets and recent economic data has begun to show weakness

Global oil markets experienced one of the most dramatic swings in recent months as crude prices surged above $115 per barrel before plunging sharply within just 24 hours

Inflation likely was elevated last month even before the spike in oil and gas prices of the past two weeks that is expected to send consumer costs soaring in the months ahead

Inflation held steady in February — but the latest reading offers little clarity for Federal Reserve officials, who are navigating an increasingly complicated economic landscape

A new poll by Reuters in cooperation with Ipsos shows growing pessimism among Americans about the war with Iran and its economic impact

A new poll by Reuters in cooperation with Ipsos shows growing pessimism among Americans about the war with Iran and its economic impact

Surging energy prices caused by the US-Israel war on Iran could ripple across the United States economy, heaping further strain on consumers at a time when cost-of-living issues are already a primary concern

The long-planned annual meeting -- hosted this year at Trump's Miami-area golf club -- kicks off over a week after he ordered strikes alongside Israel on Iran, prompting retaliatory attacks across the Middle East and sending ripple effects around the world

US Stocks Climb, Oil Falls as Trump Hints War May End Soon

Crude oil prices rocketed above $100 per barrel in volatile trading on March 9, 2026, as the intensifying conflict involving Iran, Israel and the United States disrupted key Middle East supply routes and prompted production cuts by major exporters

Trump’s Venezuela strategy has failed in Iran

President Donald Trump had the economic wind at his back at the start of the year: falling mortgage rates, relatively low inflation and cheap oil and gas

Leavitt outlines what Trump's 'unconditional surrender' of Iran means

Middle Eastern oil benchmark jumps above $100 a barrel

Fed’s Waller Doesn’t See Sustained Inflation from Iran War

Donald Trump’s new 10 per cent global tariff officially came into force on Tuesday, marking a fresh chapter in the White House’s attempt to rebuild its trade strategy after the US Supreme Court struck down the administration’s earlier sweeping duties

Donald Trump’s new 10 per cent global tariff officially came into force on Tuesday, marking a fresh chapter in the White House’s attempt to rebuild its trade strategy after the US Supreme Court struck down the administration’s earlier sweeping duties

The US president signed an executive order to impose new levies from February 24 after the Supreme Court in America overturned his previous import taxes policy in a ruling on Friday