Larry Sabato
American political scientist
46 stories
40 quotes
Alaska is impacted by the good Democratic environment just like so many other states are, and Peltola is a strong challenger,
- Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, told NewsweekNewsweeknewsweek.com/alaska/polls…
The trajectory of the polling since Labor Day (September 7) has generally been that a bad Republican environment is just getting worse,
- Kondik saidAljazeeraaljazeera.com/news/2026…
All of us are telling the same story,
- Kondik told NewsweekNewsweeknewsweek.com/midterm/race…
Overall it's pretty clear that Trump's numbers are worse now than they were eight years ago. Dissatisfaction with the economy/inflation is probably the biggest reason why."
- Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics, previously told NewsweekNewsweeknewsweek.com/trumps/own…
I just think the hill is pretty tall for Rogers given the environment,
- says Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for PoliticsCNNcnn.com/2026/09…
This poll is an outlier, as others are not as bleak for the president, but overall it's pretty clear that Trump's numbers are worse now than they were eight years ago,
- Kyle Kondik with the University of Virginia's Center for Politics told NewsweekThe Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…
Earlier
Dan Sullivan at Risk: How Midterm Headwinds Compare to His 2020 Alaska Win
Newsweeknewsweek.com/dan/sullivan…In the battle for an Alaska Senate seat and the governor’s mansion, the oil-dependent state’s declining fisheries loom large, but no one wants to look at the biggest culprit, climate change
The New York Timesnytimes.com/2026/10…US midterms serve as a test for democracy
Le Mondelemonde.fr/en/opinion…President Donald Trump has once agian promised voters $5,000 checks if they vote for Republicans in the midterm elections next month
The Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…Midterm Race Ratings Have Never Mattered More and Never Been so Disruptive
Newsweeknewsweek.com/midterm/race…Polls show close contests in competitive Senate races and rare independent polling in Virginia congressional races
The Washington Postwashingtonpost.com/politics/20…Lara Trump says Iran war could cost Trump the midterms
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…GOP is running 2026 like it’s 2006, repeating George W. Bush’s Iraq War election failure
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/opinion/gop…The outcome of the 2026 election will be determined primarily by how well Republicans play defense across the growing list of GOP-held House and Senate seats Democrats are targeting
CNNcnn.com/2026/09…A ‘Big Problem’: Trump’s War With Iran Drags Down Republicans in Midterms
The New York Timesnytimes.com/2026/09…The outcome of the 2026 election will be determined primarily by how well Republicans play defense across the growing list of GOP-held House and Senate seats Democrats are targeting
CNNcnn.com/2026/09…Map Shows Donald Trump Approval Rating Drop in Biggest Beef States
Newsweeknewsweek.com/map/shows…President Trump’s approval ratings have sunk to new lows in several recent polls, driven by declining GOP support and souring views on the economy in a possible warning sign for Republicans just weeks out from the midterms
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/administr…Trump approval falls to career low of 32% as high costs bite, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
The Korea Timeskoreatimes.co.kr/world/2026092…Dissatisfaction among Republicans has mounted since Trump began the war with Iran in February, driving gasoline and diesel prices upward
The Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…8 House races shift in Democrats’ favor: Sabato’s Crystal Ball
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…The changes come as Democrats are hoping to expand the battleground to compete in more conservative areas in this year’s elections
Newsweeknewsweek.com/republicans/get…Republicans may gain nothing from redistricting: DDHQ
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/state…Democrats on Tuesday expanded their battlefield in the fight for control of the House, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) adding three more GOP-held districts to its battleground “Red to Blue” program
Newsweeknewsweek.com/map/of…Map of Districts Where Democrats Are Bullish About Flipping GOP House Seats
Newsweeknewsweek.com/map/of…Trump becoming major liability for Republicans in midterms, new poll shows
The Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…Nationally, Trump stands at 34 percent approval and 60 percent disapproval, giving him a net approval rating of minus 26
Newsweeknewsweek.com/map/donald…GOP pollster: Texas Senate race ‘is a race that Republicans cannot afford to lose’
CNNcnn.com/2026/09…Democratic socialists were largely confined to the outer edges of political discourse
The Korea Timeskoreatimes.co.kr/world/2026090…Incumbents sent packing at near-record pace as scandals, socialists and Trump roil primaries
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/politics/incumbent…US congressman drops re-election bid after investigation finds 'inappropriate conduct' with staff
BBCbbc.com/news/articles…It backed President Donald Trump by just under 10 points in the 2024 presidential race, so Democrats have viewed it as a potential pickup opportunity, as they believe the 2026 midterms will present them with a more favorable national environment due to Trump’s declining national approval rating
Newsweeknewsweek.com/chuck/edwards…Election handicapper shifts California House seat to Dems, Maine seat to GOP
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…No California Republican has overcome such a deficit since the state adopted its top-two primary system in 2012
Newsmaxnewsmax.com/politics/californi…In Trump’s Second Midterm, Democrats Are Looking for Fighters
The New York Timesnytimes.com/2026/07…A wave of anti-incumbent sentiment is rippling through both political parties ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, with Republicans and Democrats alike seeing veteran lawmakers fall in primary contests as strategists debate what it could mean for control of Congress
Newsmaxnewsmax.com/politics/congress…The Democratic Incumbents Most at Risk of Losing to Progressive Primary Challengers in 2026
The New York Timesnytimes.com/2026/07…Many Democratic voters are frustrated with party leadership over what they view as a weak response to President Donald Trump’s second term in office and have backed some insurgent progressives, while other primaries have come down to generational questions
Newsweeknewsweek.com/midterm/elections…Election handicapper moves 3 Senate races toward Democrats
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…A new set of Senate ratings has reshaped the 2026 battleground map, pulling two previously Republican-leaning states into toss-up territory and nudging another toward Democrats—without yet overturning the GOP’s overall advantage
Newsweeknewsweek.com/republican/chance…Many Trump Voters Are Unhappy With Handling of Iran, Economy and More Issues
The New York Timesnytimes.com/2026/06…Lauren Boebert brushes off Trump calling for a primary challenge: 'I stood by the president, I stand by my friend'
The Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…‘Where are the jobs?’: as US autoworkers face offshoring, Democrats vie to win votes
Guardiantheguardian.com/us/news…One factor is AI tools that enable candidates to submit hundreds of applications quickly, intensifying competition
CNNcnn.com/2026/06…Trump victory in Texas gives him new leverage with Senate GOP
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/senate…President Donald Trump may be celebrating that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton won Tuesday’s Senate primary, but some Republicans now worry that they have a Texas-sized problem on their hands
NBC Newsnbcnews.com/politics/2026…James Talarico admits past comments 'missed the mark' when confronted on claims like God is 'non-binary'
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/media/james…Trump backed scandal-ridden Attorney General Ken Paxton in the primary
The Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…Talarico: GOP voters ‘whisper’ support for him ‘like they’re in … witness protection’
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…Trump getting involved in the Senate primary in Texas saddled Republicans with a scandal-ridden nominee
The Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…Trump compares Dem Senate candidate to freckle-faced cartoon character, promises to campaign for Paxton
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/politics/trump…Paxton secured the Republican nomination after defeating Cornyn in a closely watched primary runoff that highlighted divisions within the GOP
Newsmaxnewsmax.com/newsfront/donald…Vance and Rubio emerge as early contenders to inherit Trump’s Republican Party
South China Morning Postscmp.com/news/us…So far, Trump is keeping his strategy close to his chest
Euronewseuronews.com/2026/05…In the race to succeed Trump, Vance and Rubio set for unpopularity contest among Republicans
Euronewseuronews.com/2026/05…Within the Democratic field, surveys in 2026 show Harris leading prospective primary voters overall in many polls, with California Governor Gavin Newsom and New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez also drawing measurable support, along with former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg
Newsweeknewsweek.com/kamala/harris…Platner: ‘Of course’ Trump needs to be impeached, removed
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…The gubernatorial race has garnered less national attention, but Mills’ retirement leaves open a seat in a potentially competitive state
Newsweeknewsweek.com/platner/endorsed…Democrats caught on camera coaching candidate on how to be 'authentic' in 2026 messaging
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/politics/democrats…And on Tuesday night in Nebraska’s 2nd District, their efforts got off to a good start
HuffPosthuffpost.com/entry/denise…Democrats turn to state legislative races to catch up in the redistricting battle
NBC Newsnbcnews.com/politics/2026…Republicans may gain up to 12 House seat via redistricting
Reutersreuters.com/world/us…Mike Johnson predicts GOP could gain up to eight seats in midterms, defying historical trends
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/media/mike…Republicans may gain up to 12 House seat via redistricting
Reutersreuters.com/world/us…Republicans Want Tennessee’s Last Democratic House District
The New York Timesnytimes.com/2026/05…The shift comes amid a largely unprecedented redistricting spree that began last year with US President Donald Trump heaping pressure on Texas to redraw its congressional maps to favour Republicans
Aljazeeraaljazeera.com/news/2026…Cassidy pans Landry for moving forward with Louisiana Senate primary after voting rights decision
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…Wesley Hunt, R-Texas, pushed back Wednesday during an interview with MeidasTouch's Pablo Manríquez after being asked about Black Republicans in Congress following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, a major Voting Rights Act case involving race and congressional redistricting
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/media/wesley…Democrats up in Virginia, but US voters may pay price for redistricting war
Aljazeeraaljazeera.com/news/2026…In total, Democrats have redrawn or secured maps that could net about 10 favorable seats, while Republicans are positioned for roughly nine, a near draw that assumes past voting patterns hold this November, according to Associated Press analysis
Newsweeknewsweek.com/how/trumps…Virginia redistricting vote could reshape US House as Democrats aim to flip key Republican seats
The News Internationalthenews.com.pk/latest/1399896…The measure temporarily suspends Virginia's bipartisan redistricting system and gives lawmakers authority to adopt new congressional districts through 2030
Newsmaxnewsmax.com/newsfront/virginia…First attack ad churns Georgia's uncertain Republican Senate primary
NBC Newsnbcnews.com/politics/2026…Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff leads two potential Republican challengers, Representatives Mike Collins and Buddy Carter, in a new poll of Georgia’s 2026 Senate race released Tuesday
Newsweeknewsweek.com/mike/collins…Swing-state Dem candidate's 'disgusting' comments about JD, Usha Vance's 'Brown children' sparks outrage
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/politics/swing…Killing tens of thousands of people makes you pretty damn evil,' El-Sayed told CNN congressional reporter Manu Raja on the network's Inside Politics program
Haaretzhaaretz.com/us/news…Californians are pouring money into Democrats' Senate races in other states
Los Angeles Timeslatimes.com/politics/story…Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico received encouraging news from a recent poll showing Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Senator John Cornyn in the Republican runoff
Newsweeknewsweek.com/james/talarico…New poll reveals Spanberger's popularity is plummeting amid backlash over gerrymandering
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/politics/new…The poll found Spanberger's approval rating is 13 points below the average for Virginia governors in Washington Post polling since the 1990s
Newsmaxnewsmax.com/politics/washingto…Barack Obama’s past comments haunt Virginia Democrats’ efforts to gerrymander new districts
CNNcnn.com/2026/04…Abigail Spanberger challenged her to publicly debate the merits of the redistricting referendum she and Virginia Democrats so fervently support, as an anti-gerrymandering group he works with also fired off a letter to her in his stead
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/politics/former…Democrats Get Great News in Six Major Midterm Races
Newsweeknewsweek.com/democrats/great…A leading election handicapper on Thursday shifted its ratings of six gubernatorial races toward Democrats, though Republicans are well positioned to hold onto their advantage in the country’s governorships this fall
The Hillthehill.com/homenews/campaign…These are the districts that will decide House control
CNNcnn.com/2026/02…Carefree and its whimsical street signs are located in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District, one of the most competitive House districts in the country
Los Angeles Timeslatimes.com/politics/story…Republicans Get Warning About Key Senate Race for Midterms
Newsweeknewsweek.com/republicans/get…Virginia Democrats move to seize redistricting power, opening door to 4 new left-leaning seats
Fox Newsfoxnews.com/politics/virginia…Mark Peake accused Democratic of initiating a push to redraw maps to punish Trump
Politicopolitico.com/news/2026…Marco Rubio sees his 2028 odds soar on Polymarket after Venezuela attacks
The Independentindependent.co.uk/news/world…As he addressed a gathering in Las Vegas recently, Ted Cruz raised the elephant in the Republican room
Daily Maildailymail.co.uk/news/article…