Austan Goolsbee

American economist

50 stories

43 quotes

For all the talk about AI data centers, the main engine of growth for GDP in the United States has been broad-based consumer spending growth, which I think is tied to a broad-based, stable labor market,
And if demand overheats, there is no ambiguity about how the Fed needs to respond,
For big negative supply shocks... you'd be better off just assuming from the beginning this thing is going to be pretty persistent on inflation: that's certainly what happened in Covid; that's what happened with the tariffs. That's maybe what's happening with oil,
It’s going to be painful,
If wages adjusted instantly,... the central bank's response to supply shocks and demand shocks would be the same."... But if the shock is lasting, it "can't simply be ignored."... the only way back is the hard way."
You have seen now little bit of improvement on this services inflation, and I've been identifying that as something that we would want to see,

Earlier

Fed’s Goolsbee Warns U.S. Economy Heading in ‘Stagflationary’ Direction

The Wall Street Journalwsj.com/economy/central…

The remarks build on a thesis Goolsbee first publicly ​aired earlier this month pushing back against the idea that AI is a disinflationary force that could give the central bank room to cut rates, a view ​embraced by many in the Trump administration and by Kevin Warsh, ​the Fed's new chair

Reutersreuters.com/business/feds…

Powell says the global oil crisis may have only temporary economic effects

CNNcnn.com/2026/03…

The core debate in a week packed with major monetary policy meetings is whether an inflation spurt warrants interest rate rises — or whether central banks should treat the Iran-related ‌energy supply shock as temporary and focus instead on its parallel drag on demand

Reutersreuters.com/markets/inflation…